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2025-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Zeigler 35 7-11 0-2 3-4 1 6 2 0 4 17 11 -14.3
J. Gainey 32 4-12 0-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 8 3 -14.2
F. Okpara 32 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 1 1 8 9 -15.6
C. Lanier 31 3-13 0-7 4-4 6 1 0 0 0 10 4 -10.5
I. Milicic Jr. 28 6-9 3-4 1-3 9 1 2 0 1 16 18 -6.0
J. Mashack 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -0.9
C. Phillips 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 +3.8
D. Dubar 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -9.2

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brea 33 4-9 3-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 11 7 +16.4
O. Oweh 31 4-11 1-1 4-6 6 2 0 2 0 13 12 +13.6
A. Almonor 22 4-5 2-3 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 13 9 -1.3
L. Butler 22 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 6 10 +11.7
A. Williams 21 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 1 3 6 4 +19.5
T. Noah 19 3-4 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 11 10 +21.1
A. Carr 19 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +18.3
B. Garrison 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 5 5 -0.2
T. Perry 12 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 -6.1
C. Chandler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.2

* = starter