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2025-02-12

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Carter 34 4-15 3-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 13 3 -0.4
Robert Miller III 29 8-13 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 16 6 -6.2
Dji Bailey 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 2 8 +2.7
Jordan Sears 27 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 2 -5.0
Corey Chest 25 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 7 8 -10.7
Vyctorius Miller 14 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -7.6
Curtis Givens III 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.6
Derek Fountain 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -0.2
Daimion Collins 11 2-7 0-1 0-1 6 1 0 0 2 4 2 -3.3
Mike Williams III 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -11.0
Trey'Dez Green 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.1

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnell Davis 36 4-13 0-2 3-5 3 0 3 0 0 11 4 +16.9
Karter Knox 34 4-5 1-2 0-2 8 0 1 1 2 9 12 +4.9
Zvonimir Ivisic 28 10-13 3-5 2-2 3 0 1 4 1 25 19 +6.7
D.J. Wagner 28 4-8 0-1 2-2 3 7 0 0 3 10 9 +1.3
Adou Thiero 27 2-8 0-1 2-4 7 3 0 0 1 6 7 +10.7
Billy Richmond III 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 4 7 +9.9
Trevon Brazile 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 3 7 -1.4
Jonas Aidoo 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 2 8 +5.3

* = starter