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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.9% 23.1% - โœ“
Margin 72.7% 27.3% -5.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Pedulla 37 5-14 4-7 3-3 4 3 0 0 0 17 10 -0.6
Matthew Murrell 36 2-7 0-3 6-6 9 1 1 1 2 10 13 +0.4
Dre Davis 33 8-16 0-2 6-10 7 0 1 0 0 22 14 +2.6
Jaylen Murray 33 3-8 1-6 2-3 2 2 2 1 1 9 7 +1.7
Jaemyn Brakefield 24 4-6 1-2 2-4 8 4 0 1 1 11 17 +9.4
Malik Dia 16 0-6 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 1 -3 -13.2
Davon Barnes 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -0.7
Eduardo Klafke 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.3
Mikeal Brown-Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -4.6
John Bol 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Carter 34 6-14 4-7 0-1 4 4 1 1 3 16 9 +4.3
Corey Chest 30 2-5 0-0 1-6 12 1 0 2 1 5 14 +13.6
Jordan Sears 29 3-8 2-5 5-6 2 3 3 0 1 13 12 +6.7
Dji Bailey 29 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 7 2 +11.3
Daimion Collins 23 5-8 0-1 5-6 5 0 0 0 0 15 12 +2.5
Robert Miller III 17 1-1 0-0 0-4 4 0 0 2 1 2 6 +2.6
Curtis Givens III 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 4 -0.4
Vyctorius Miller 11 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -4.8
Trey'Dez Green 7 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4.9
Mike Williams III 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 +3.5
Derek Fountain 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.6

* = starter