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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -9 (81-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clayton Jr. 40 6-11 4-8 3-3 6 9 1 1 3 19 22 +16.0
A. Condon 33 7-10 0-2 3-5 10 4 1 0 2 17 20 +6.4
W. Richard 31 4-13 2-9 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 12 5 +5.8
T. Haugh 29 4-10 1-4 7-8 9 3 1 3 1 16 21 +19.3
D. Aberdeen 28 4-11 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 10 1 -1.7
U. Klavzar 17 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 9 8 +10.2
R. Chinyelu 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 5 -3.1
S. Alexis 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +7.0

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kelly 35 8-18 3-9 3-3 3 1 1 1 0 22 10 -2.7
J. Broome 30 8-19 1-3 1-2 11 6 0 2 1 18 17 +2.4
D. Jones 30 0-4 0-1 2-4 7 1 1 0 3 2 4 +4.1
T. Pettiford 25 4-11 2-5 4-5 2 3 1 0 1 14 8 -4.0
Dy. Cardwell 24 2-3 0-0 1-5 12 1 0 0 1 5 14 -6.2
C. Johnson 21 6-9 0-1 1-1 1 1 2 1 0 13 9 -10.9
C. Baker-Mazara 19 2-6 1-3 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 6 2 -12.4
C. Moore 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 -7.7
J. Hudson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -0.2

* = starter