Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -4 (81-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Chris Youngblood | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Grant Nelson | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +6.1 |
| Aden Holloway | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +9.5 |
| Clifford Omoruyi | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +6.2 |
| Labaron Philon | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 15 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -4.8 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wagner | 35 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 31 | 10-18 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 23 | +6.9 |
| Karter Knox | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Johnell Davis | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Billy Richmond III | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Adou Thiero | 24 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +17.5 |
| Trevon Brazile | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -12.9 |
| Jonas Aidoo | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
* = starter