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2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Grill 32 4-5 2-3 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 11 11 +5.8
Mark Mitchell 31 0-6 0-1 4-6 2 2 1 0 0 4 3 -1.3
Tamar Bates 30 6-14 4-10 6-8 1 0 1 0 1 22 9 -5.0
Tony Perkins 30 5-7 3-3 3-5 5 5 0 0 0 16 19 +2.5
Josh Gray 23 0-3 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 0 1 3 9 +6.8
Trent Pierce 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 2 -0.5
Marques Warrick 10 3-4 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 +2.4
Jacob Crews 10 3-8 2-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 2 +6.5
T.O. Barrett 7 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 2 +7.3
Anthony Robinson II 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 +3.5
Marcus Allen 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -8.4
Peyton Marshall 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.4
Aidan Shaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.5

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Gainey 34 2-7 1-2 5-8 4 3 0 0 1 10 9 +1.6
Zakai Zeigler 34 5-9 4-4 7-7 3 8 0 0 2 21 21 +7.7
Chaz Lanier 34 3-7 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 10 9 +9.9
Igor Milicic Jr. 32 8-10 2-3 3-4 10 5 2 4 3 21 29 +5.3
Felix Okpara 27 4-10 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 3 1 12 11 +4.1
Jahmai Mashack 21 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -9.8
Cade Phillips 13 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 2 1 1 0 4 8 -1.7
Darlinstone Dubar 3 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.9
Bishop Boswell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.9

* = starter