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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.2 โœ“ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +28 (98-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalon Moore 33 5-12 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 11 -2 -12.7
Duke Miles 25 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 7 -12.9
Jeremiah Fears 25 1-8 1-3 7-7 1 3 0 0 5 10 1 -9.5
Dayton Forsythe 22 1-8 0-3 11-11 1 0 0 0 0 13 6 -11.8
Luke Northweather 20 2-7 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 5 -18.7
Glenn Taylor Jr. 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -1.8
Brycen Goodine 18 1-3 1-1 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 5 7 -11.8
Kobe Elvis 13 2-5 1-4 5-5 0 0 0 0 1 10 4 -10.4
Mohamed Wague 12 1-1 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 0 1 4 7 -6.2
Sam Godwin 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2.2
Jacolb Fredson-Cole 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -1.3

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chaney Johnson 27 4-6 0-0 5-6 8 3 1 1 1 13 19 +18.5
Denver Jones 27 4-4 3-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 13 16 +25.7
Johni Broome 26 4-8 0-1 7-9 5 6 3 3 3 15 21 +6.7
Miles Kelly 25 4-11 1-7 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 9 4 +9.8
Tahaad Pettiford 23 3-8 3-8 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 11 10 +10.1
Chad Baker-Mazara 20 5-11 1-5 4-5 2 1 1 0 1 15 7 +11.8
Dylan Cardwell 18 4-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 6 0 8 14 +16.4
Chris Moore 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 7 +7.2
Ja'Heim Hudson 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 +4.3
Jahki Howard 4 1-3 0-1 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 +2.3
Blake Muschalek 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +1.4
CJ Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2
Presley Patterson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.3

* = starter