Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✗ (27.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -27 (61-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Perkins | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +16.6 |
| Tamar Bates | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +22.4 |
| Josh Gray | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +21.4 |
| Trent Pierce | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Caleb Grill | 22 | 7-12 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +25.4 |
| Mark Mitchell | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Jacob Crews | 16 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +11.0 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +7.5 |
| Marques Warrick | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.9 |
| T.O. Barrett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Annor Boateng | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Aidan Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Peyton Marshall | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 36 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | -14.6 |
| Cameron Matthews | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -10.2 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 25 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -22.9 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -15.0 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -19.8 |
| RJ Melendez | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -12.1 |
| Michael Nwoko | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Riley Kugel | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | -3.3 |
| Dellquan Warren | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Martavious Russell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Harrison Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Gai Chol | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter