Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -31 (58-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Johnson | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +34.9 |
| Tramon Mark | 28 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +27.6 |
| Julian Larry | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +24.4 |
| Arthur Kaluma | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +18.4 |
| Devon Pryor | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Jordan Pope | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| Jayson Kent | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Ze'Rik Onyema | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Nic Codie | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +6.8 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Carter | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -21.9 |
| Dji Bailey | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -26.4 |
| Jordan Sears | 26 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -21.2 |
| Robert Miller III | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -12.7 |
| Curtis Givens III | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -13.1 |
| Vyctorius Miller | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -14.2 |
| Corey Chest | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -11.4 |
| Daimion Collins | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -17.0 |
| Trey'Dez Green | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Derek Fountain | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +0.9 |
| Mike Williams III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter