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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Log Adjusted 28.7% 71.3% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -10 (79-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner 38 7-13 2-4 1-2 3 8 0 0 1 17 14 +4.9
J. Davis 38 7-14 3-6 1-2 5 6 2 0 1 18 16 +13.3
A. Thiero 34 5-10 1-3 10-12 8 0 3 0 2 21 20 +18.5
K. Knox 34 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 10 10 +9.5
Z. Ivisic 25 5-8 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 14 11 +10.7
T. Brazile 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 5 5 -3.9
J. Aidoo 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -0.5
B. Richmond III 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 +10.2

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robinson 34 6-9 4-6 4-8 3 2 0 0 2 20 14 -7.8
O. Oweh 32 5-13 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 10 -2 -13.8
K. Brea 29 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 0 +1.7
A. Williams 26 9-13 0-0 4-7 11 3 1 0 3 22 21 +5.4
A. Almonor 25 4-6 3-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 12 11 -10.4
C. Chandler 17 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -3.1
A. Carr 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 4 +1.4
B. Garrison 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 -13.5
T. Perry 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -2.5

* = starter