Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.1% | 5.9% | -15.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -13 (74-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johni Broome | 33 | 10-23 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 21 | +5.3 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 31 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Miles Kelly | 29 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -7.5 |
| Denver Jones | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +16.2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 23 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Chaney Johnson | 17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Chris Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +0.4 |
| JP Pegues | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.7 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dji Bailey | 34 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Cam Carter | 31 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 8-12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | +8.4 |
| Daimion Collins | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Jordan Sears | 24 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Curtis Givens III | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Corey Chest | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Robert Miller III | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Derek Fountain | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Trey'Dez Green | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Vyctorius Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Mike Williams III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
* = starter