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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 75.4% 24.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.9% 25.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Otega Oweh 33 8-14 0-3 5-7 12 3 1 0 4 21 19 -4.0
Jaxson Robinson 31 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 7 -1.2
Lamont Butler 27 2-7 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 1 6 6 0 +2.4
Ansley Almonor 24 4-5 4-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 12 10 -2.5
Amari Williams 23 2-4 0-0 2-4 5 4 0 2 1 6 12 +6.6
Koby Brea 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 3 +4.5
Brandon Garrison 18 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 8 3 -7.2
Trent Noah 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -1.2
Travis Perry 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -7.3
Collin Chandler 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.3

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Nickel 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 11 9 +6.6
Devin McGlockton 27 6-10 2-5 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 14 15 +8.7
Jason Edwards 27 6-11 2-4 4-6 0 4 0 0 1 18 10 +3.8
A.J. Hoggard 25 2-8 1-3 0-1 3 6 1 0 2 5 5 +3.8
Tyler Tanner 22 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 7 9 +13.6
Chris Manon 21 2-8 0-3 0-2 3 3 1 2 0 4 5 -7.1
MJ Collins 21 2-8 1-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 -2 +8.3
Jaylen Carey 17 4-7 2-4 0-2 6 0 1 0 1 10 9 +1.3
Grant Huffman 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 4 -4.4

* = starter