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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 11.1% 88.9% -
Margin 3.6% 96.4% +18.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.3% 83.7% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carter 31 7-19 1-7 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 17 2 -9.7
J. Sears 29 7-14 1-6 6-6 0 6 2 0 4 21 11 +13.0
C. Chest 28 4-9 0-0 4-8 18 1 2 3 1 12 26 -0.1
D. Bailey 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 4 4 -4.6
D. Collins 27 5-10 0-2 1-1 5 1 1 1 2 11 7 -1.1
R. Miller III 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.5
M. Williams III 13 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 3 1 +10.2
D. Fountain 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2.6
C. Givens III 11 0-5 0-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -5 -14.1
T. Green 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 +2.0

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Youngblood 30 5-10 1-5 2-2 5 2 1 2 1 13 12 +11.6
J. Stevenson 30 1-3 1-3 0-1 3 2 3 0 2 3 6 +13.5
A. Holloway 29 5-14 3-8 6-6 4 0 2 0 2 19 9 -0.1
G. Nelson 28 4-8 1-1 3-4 3 2 0 0 3 12 6 +0.1
C. Omoruyi 23 4-4 0-0 0-2 9 3 1 0 1 8 16 +5.7
L. Philon 21 2-8 1-3 6-6 3 3 1 0 1 11 9 -4.8
M. Dioubate 18 6-8 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 0 2 14 11 +4.1
M. Sears 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 -1 -2.9
A. Sherrell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -4.7

* = starter