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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—

Actual: Texas Longhorns +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Mitchell 32 1-7 0-3 5-6 6 0 1 1 3 7 5 -9.1
Caleb Grill 29 1-6 1-5 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 6 6 -14.8
Tamar Bates 28 4-8 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 4 -1.2
Anthony Robinson II 27 2-7 0-1 4-7 1 0 1 0 1 8 2 -1.9
Tony Perkins 19 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 6 6 -3.2
Trent Pierce 18 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 2 -3.7
Josh Gray 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 3 6 -6.0
T.O. Barrett 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 3 5 -1.7
Marques Warrick 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.6
Jacob Crews 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.3
Marcus Allen 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -1.0
Aidan Shaw 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.1

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Johnson 35 3-15 1-8 5-6 4 2 0 0 1 12 2 -
Arthur Kaluma 32 4-10 1-3 5-6 12 2 2 2 1 14 21 +7.1
Jordan Pope 29 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 0 +16.0
Julian Larry 25 0-2 0-1 4-6 0 3 2 0 0 4 7 +19.2
Tramon Mark 25 1-6 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 1 -5.9
Kadin Shedrick 24 2-2 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 1 3 9 14 +14.7
Jayson Kent 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 3 +5.2
Ze'Rik Onyema 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -2.8
Devon Pryor 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +1.8

* = starter