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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% -
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell 32 1-7 0-3 5-6 6 0 1 1 3 7 5 -9.1
C. Grill 29 1-6 1-5 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 6 6 -14.8
T. Bates 28 4-8 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 4 -1.2
A. Robinson II 27 2-7 0-1 4-7 1 0 1 0 1 8 2 -1.9
T. Perkins 19 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 6 6 -3.2
T. Pierce 18 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 2 -3.7
J. Gray 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 3 6 -6.0
T.O. Barrett 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 3 5 -1.7
M. Warrick 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.6
J. Crews 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.3
M. Allen 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -1.0
A. Shaw 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.1

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson 35 3-15 1-8 5-6 4 2 0 0 1 12 2 -
A. Kaluma 32 4-10 1-3 5-6 12 2 2 2 1 14 21 +7.1
J. Pope 29 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 0 +16.0
T. Mark 25 1-6 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 1 -5.9
J. Larry 25 0-2 0-1 4-6 0 3 2 0 0 4 7 +19.2
K. Shedrick 24 2-2 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 1 3 9 14 +14.7
J. Kent 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 3 +5.2
Z. Onyema 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -2.8
D. Pryor 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +1.8

* = starter