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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Texas A&M Aggies Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“

Actual: Texas A&M Aggies +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Carter 35 5-13 3-6 3-4 5 4 0 2 2 16 12 -7.1
Jordan Sears 30 1-8 1-7 8-8 4 5 1 0 2 11 11 -4.8
Dji Bailey 29 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 7 6 +0.6
Derek Fountain 24 1-2 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 3 5 -14.5
Curtis Givens III 23 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 2 -2.0
Robert Miller III 23 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 6 8 -7.7
Daimion Collins 17 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 4 -2.5
Corey Chest 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -6.7
Mike Williams III 6 1-5 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -2.0

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zhuric Phelps 30 6-13 1-3 0-2 6 6 1 0 2 13 11 +6.3
Henry Coleman III 28 5-7 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 7 +10.1
Wade Taylor IV 24 3-13 1-5 5-6 4 4 2 0 1 12 8 +4.7
Andersson Garcia 23 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 3 5 9 +10.5
Hayden Hefner 20 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 +5.0
Solomon Washington 19 3-6 1-2 0-1 7 2 2 0 0 7 12 -
Jace Carter 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 3 +10.0
CJ Wilcher 15 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -1.0
Pharrel Payne 13 1-2 0-0 2-7 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -2.9
Manny Obaseki 12 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -0.9
Jaelyn Lee 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter