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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ“ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Boogie Fland 33 2-13 0-4 0-0 4 6 0 1 0 4 2 -5.6
Zvonimir Ivisic 30 6-9 2-5 0-2 10 1 2 3 0 14 21 +0.0
Adou Thiero 29 5-11 0-1 2-2 6 2 1 3 4 12 9 -9.5
D.J. Wagner 28 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 6 -2 -13.8
Karter Knox 20 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 4 +1.1
Johnell Davis 19 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 3 -1.9
Trevon Brazile 18 3-4 1-1 0-2 4 1 1 0 3 7 6 -13.2
Billy Richmond III 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 +0.5
Jonas Aidoo 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -11.1

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Mitchell 36 6-15 1-2 4-7 5 4 2 0 2 17 11 +11.4
Anthony Robinson II 31 1-7 1-3 4-4 6 4 1 0 2 7 9 +9.3
Caleb Grill 29 7-10 3-5 0-0 5 3 4 0 1 17 18 +4.5
Tamar Bates 22 6-12 3-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 15 6 +11.9
Tony Perkins 20 3-6 1-3 4-6 1 3 1 0 1 11 9 +11.7
Trent Pierce 19 4-4 2-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 10 14 +9.6
Marcus Allen 17 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 2 7 -0.6
Jacob Crews 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 1 +0.7
Peyton Marshall 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.0
Josh Gray 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.9
Marques Warrick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Annor Boateng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
T.O. Barrett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter