Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Pedulla | 40 | 7-18 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Jaylen Murray | 36 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Jaemyn Brakefield | 34 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +5.1 |
| Matthew Murrell | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Dre Davis | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Malik Dia | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Eduardo Klafke | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Davon Barnes | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Mikeal Brown-Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Robert Cowherd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews | 41 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | +6.1 |
| Josh Hubbard | 39 | 2-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | +0.6 |
| RJ Melendez | 35 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2.0 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | -1.2 |
| Riley Kugel | 30 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +0.5 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Michael Nwoko | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +0.9 |
* = starter