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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% -
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (97-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears 38 6-17 4-12 8-9 1 9 0 0 1 24 16 +10.2
G. Nelson 31 7-13 2-7 9-10 11 2 0 0 4 25 21 +12.3
L. Philon 31 4-10 3-5 4-4 4 4 1 0 2 15 12 +3.4
C. Omoruyi 25 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 2 0 12 14 -8.3
C. Youngblood 24 3-4 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 6 +1.0
J. Stevenson 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 3 -10.2
M. Dioubate 15 2-5 0-1 4-7 8 3 1 0 0 8 15 +18.5
A. Holloway 15 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 +2.6
A. Sherrell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Oweh 33 8-14 1-2 4-5 6 3 2 1 0 21 19 +4.9
L. Butler 32 6-14 2-5 3-3 4 8 1 2 1 17 17 +4.0
K. Brea 25 4-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 3 1 10 8 -6.8
J. Robinson 25 4-10 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 1 +0.4
A. Williams 22 5-11 0-0 3-6 11 1 1 2 4 13 13 -14.8
A. Almonor 19 2-4 2-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 10 9 -0.4
B. Garrison 19 5-7 1-3 0-0 6 5 0 0 0 11 15 +9.5
A. Carr 18 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 3 +5.3
T. Perry 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -2.0

* = starter