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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% -
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Phelps 33 8-19 2-9 3-4 7 2 1 0 4 21 8 -5.9
H. Hefner 25 2-8 1-6 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 7 1 -4.0
S. Washington 25 1-6 1-4 1-2 5 0 2 1 0 4 6 -
A. Garcia 23 1-2 0-1 3-5 1 0 2 2 0 5 8 +8.4
J. Carter 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 3 +3.8
M. Obaseki 21 4-9 2-5 2-4 1 1 0 0 3 12 2 -7.8
P. Payne 20 5-5 0-0 5-8 3 1 0 0 1 15 13 +1.3
H. Coleman III 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -11.1
CJ Wilcher 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.2
J. Lee 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.3

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robinson 34 8-17 5-13 1-1 8 2 0 1 0 22 16 +16.2
L. Butler 30 0-3 0-1 6-8 2 7 3 0 6 6 9 +6.6
O. Oweh 28 2-5 0-0 7-10 2 4 3 1 1 11 15 +2.0
A. Carr 25 6-9 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 13 8 +14.2
A. Williams 23 3-6 0-0 2-2 12 4 1 1 3 8 17 +14.3
K. Brea 18 1-5 1-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -0.7
B. Garrison 17 1-2 0-1 2-4 1 1 1 1 1 4 5 -5.8
A. Almonor 15 1-1 1-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 6 6 -5.2
T. Perry 10 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 6 1 +2.9

* = starter