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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% -
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Florida Gators -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell 30 5-11 0-0 5-6 8 2 0 0 1 15 13 +0.4
C. Grill 30 7-11 6-10 2-4 3 2 3 0 0 22 19 +14.5
T. Bates 28 4-11 1-6 1-1 2 3 5 0 1 10 8 -3.2
A. Robinson II 24 4-6 2-2 2-5 2 1 0 0 1 12 8 -6.3
T. Pierce 24 3-7 1-3 0-2 6 2 1 0 2 7 7 -2.0
T. Perkins 18 1-6 0-3 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 4 1 +10.3
J. Crews 13 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 5 4 +6.2
J. Gray 13 1-2 0-0 4-6 5 1 0 0 1 6 9 +4.1
M. Allen 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 +6.8
T.O. Barrett 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1.8
P. Marshall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +3.3
M. Warrick 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.6

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richard 38 4-8 3-5 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 12 8 +10.1
W. Clayton Jr. 35 9-19 3-9 7-9 5 0 3 0 2 28 15 +3.7
A. Martin 34 4-10 3-7 3-4 4 2 0 0 3 14 7 -3.4
A. Condon 29 3-3 0-0 2-5 6 3 1 0 3 8 12 -6.1
R. Chinyelu 26 4-5 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 2 1 11 18 -3.6
T. Haugh 16 1-3 0-2 5-6 5 1 0 0 1 7 9 +4.9
D. Aberdeen 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -10.8
S. Alexis 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 -2.7

* = starter