Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | -1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (90-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler | 34 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Otega Oweh | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Jaxson Robinson | 30 | 9-12 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | +8.2 |
| Amari Williams | 30 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21 | +1.9 |
| Andrew Carr | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Ansley Almonor | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Koby Brea | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Brandon Garrison | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Travis Perry | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.0 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | +5.6 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 30 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +6.1 |
| Josh Hubbard | 29 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | +0.9 |
| RJ Melendez | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -11.1 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Michael Nwoko | 23 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +13.5 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Riley Kugel | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Dellquan Warren | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter