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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Sears 35 3-12 2-8 2-2 3 6 3 0 4 10 6 -2.3
Cam Carter 35 7-18 2-9 0-0 4 2 2 1 3 16 4 -9.5
Daimion Collins 32 6-8 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 14 11 -21.8
Dji Bailey 29 1-5 0-2 0-0 8 3 2 0 3 2 7 -10.9
Curtis Givens III 22 2-8 2-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 6 1 -10.6
Vyctorius Miller 17 0-2 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -0.1
Corey Chest 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 -8.3
Derek Fountain 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.9
Robert Miller III 8 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 8 +12.3
Mike Williams III 4 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 6 +6.2

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Pedulla 33 3-9 1-7 4-4 2 4 2 0 2 11 8 +13.1
Dre Davis 32 3-4 2-2 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 10 13 +14.9
Matthew Murrell 31 3-10 2-6 1-2 4 6 1 0 3 9 7 +9.1
Jaylen Murray 30 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 3 2 1 3 10 6 +12.4
Malik Dia 26 8-14 2-4 1-2 7 1 0 2 0 19 15 +12.9
Jaemyn Brakefield 21 5-8 0-1 6-7 5 2 2 0 3 16 14 -0.1
Davon Barnes 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 3 -2.2
Eduardo Klafke 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 2 2 0 0 0 6 +7.4
John Bol 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.3
Cam Brent 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.3

* = starter