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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 76.7% 23.3% -
Bradley-Terry 83.8% 16.2% -
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Log Adjusted 86.4% 13.6% -
Points Off/Def 66.2% 33.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richard 35 4-11 1-6 3-5 8 1 2 0 1 12 11 +7.0
W. Clayton Jr. 34 4-15 2-9 2-2 3 5 0 0 3 12 2 +7.9
A. Martin 27 5-11 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 14 9 +4.8
A. Condon 25 4-7 1-1 3-5 10 4 0 3 0 12 22 -6.7
D. Aberdeen 24 2-7 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 5 -2 -12.5
T. Haugh 22 3-6 0-2 2-2 7 0 1 1 1 8 10 +15.9
R. Chinyelu 20 1-2 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 2 0 2 10 +3.9
S. Alexis 13 2-5 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 0 6 8 +3.1

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner 39 3-11 1-4 2-4 4 3 1 0 0 9 6 -0.9
B. Fland 34 4-13 2-3 5-5 3 4 1 0 1 15 9 -2.2
J. Aidoo 32 4-5 0-0 3-6 9 2 0 3 2 11 18 +3.3
T. Brazile 27 2-3 0-0 3-6 6 0 3 2 1 7 14 +6.8
J. Davis 20 0-8 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -8 -1.8
A. Thiero 20 4-10 0-1 9-12 3 0 1 1 0 17 12 -0.2
K. Knox 18 1-7 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 4 3 -4.9
Z. Ivisic 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -0.6
B. Richmond III 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.7

* = starter