๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers +16 (83-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Carter 38 5-15 1-5 5-5 3 3 2 0 3 16 6 -5.1
Dji Bailey 38 5-8 1-2 0-1 3 4 2 0 1 11 11 -11.4
Curtis Givens III 31 5-13 3-8 2-4 1 1 0 0 3 15 1 -10.8
Daimion Collins 27 4-6 1-1 2-3 5 2 0 1 1 11 12 -14.6
Vyctorius Miller 21 1-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 5 -11.0
Corey Chest 18 2-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 7 8 -4.4
Derek Fountain 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 0 3 +4.2
Jordan Sears 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 3 3 -4.6
Robert Miller III 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.0
Mike Williams III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamar Bates 32 6-9 2-3 6-6 8 2 3 0 0 20 24 +15.7
Anthony Robinson II 31 3-9 2-4 8-8 4 4 0 1 4 16 12 +13.5
Mark Mitchell 30 4-6 1-1 2-4 3 2 2 0 2 11 10 +8.9
Marques Warrick 21 4-10 2-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 12 5 +6.6
Trent Pierce 20 2-5 1-4 2-3 3 2 1 0 1 7 7 +10.8
Tony Perkins 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 3 3 +4.4
Caleb Grill 17 3-5 3-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 10 7 +5.7
Josh Gray 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 2 0 7 +0.5
Aidan Shaw 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 +1.0
Jacob Crews 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 +3.0
Marcus Allen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.1

* = starter