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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (24.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators +30 (73-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Zeigler 36 4-12 1-6 1-2 2 1 2 0 3 10 0 -30.0
C. Lanier 30 3-16 1-9 3-5 7 0 3 0 3 10 1 -28.4
I. Milicic Jr. 29 2-7 1-5 3-4 7 0 2 0 0 8 10 -26.7
F. Okpara 29 2-3 0-0 4-6 7 1 1 3 0 8 17 -16.6
J. Gainey 27 1-11 1-3 4-5 2 0 0 1 2 7 -3 -30.1
J. Mashack 25 0-3 0-3 0-2 4 2 0 1 2 0 2 -13.1
B. Boswell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -0.2
D. Dubar 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.6
C. Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richard 36 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 7 4 +35.7
A. Martin 34 6-14 2-5 4-5 6 1 2 0 0 18 13 +35.3
W. Clayton Jr. 30 3-10 1-6 0-0 4 5 0 2 4 7 4 +33.0
A. Condon 26 5-12 0-1 2-2 12 4 0 2 0 12 18 +27.5
R. Chinyelu 22 2-5 0-0 0-1 15 1 1 1 2 4 15 +27.3
T. Haugh 22 2-5 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 7 7 +11.6
D. Aberdeen 20 5-11 2-4 4-5 2 0 1 0 1 16 7 +7.8
S. Alexis 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -2.7

* = starter