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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Pedulla 35 4-8 3-4 5-7 1 3 1 0 0 16 13 +9.7
Jaylen Murray 33 2-9 0-4 0-0 6 6 2 0 2 4 7 +17.6
Matthew Murrell 28 3-7 2-5 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 9 7 +2.8
Malik Dia 28 7-12 2-4 5-9 8 1 0 1 0 21 19 +2.6
Jaemyn Brakefield 22 1-4 0-1 1-2 6 2 0 0 0 3 7 +6.3
Dre Davis 20 2-4 0-2 6-8 7 1 1 0 1 10 14 -3.5
Davon Barnes 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -1.5
Eduardo Klafke 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 +3.1
John Bol 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +5.1

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner 39 4-13 0-5 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 11 -1 -3.4
Boogie Fland 37 5-20 1-8 3-5 6 5 0 0 0 14 5 -6.7
Johnell Davis 29 4-9 3-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 15 10 -6.2
Adou Thiero 28 7-12 0-0 3-5 9 2 2 1 1 17 18 -2.0
Trevon Brazile 21 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 1 0 3 12 -0.2
Karter Knox 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 4 4 +1.2
Jonas Aidoo 17 0-0 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 2 2 6 -4.8
Billy Richmond III 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1.9
Zvonimir Ivisic 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter