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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 83.1% 16.9% -
Bradley-Terry 75.2% 24.8% -
Margin 85.2% 14.8% -9.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -
Points Off/Def 70.4% 29.6% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Broome 36 7-15 0-1 6-7 12 5 2 3 1 20 26 +6.8
D. Jones 33 3-6 1-3 3-4 2 4 0 2 1 10 11 +5.6
M. Kelly 29 6-12 4-6 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 18 8 +10.1
C. Baker-Mazara 28 4-8 1-3 7-8 5 3 1 2 2 16 17 -1.6
C. Johnson 22 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 2 1 4 4 -3.3
T. Pettiford 17 3-7 1-2 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 10 6 +0.9
Dy. Cardwell 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 0 6 -
J. Howard 10 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 4 -6.0
C. Moore 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 +1.9

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kaluma 38 12-16 5-6 5-7 8 2 0 2 2 34 28 +4.5
T. Johnson 38 5-13 0-3 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 11 3 -
K. Shedrick 31 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 4 8 +2.1
T. Mark 30 1-5 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 5 6 +3.4
J. Pope 29 4-11 0-3 11-11 2 1 3 0 1 19 13 +3.8
J. Larry 15 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 4 6 1 +12.9
J. Kent 13 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 +0.5
Z. Onyema 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -6.0
C. Weaver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter