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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Asa Newell 31 5-9 0-0 3-3 13 1 2 2 1 13 21 -7.7
Silas Demary Jr. 30 2-7 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 6 -3 -15.7
Tyrin Lawrence 26 3-8 1-2 1-2 2 2 3 0 2 8 5 +2.4
Blue Cain 26 1-7 0-3 4-4 5 0 2 0 1 6 5 -12.5
Dakota Leffew 23 2-10 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 -2 -1.2
RJ Godfrey 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -2.8
De'Shayne Montgomery 16 2-11 0-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 6 -6 +0.2
Somto Cyril 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 1 2 -0.6
Dylan James 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.6
Justin Abson 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 2 7 -2.6

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Davon Barnes 34 2-6 0-2 3-4 6 2 1 0 0 7 10 +8.9
Matthew Murrell 34 5-8 0-2 5-6 6 3 1 0 1 15 16 +8.6
Dre Davis 30 2-4 1-2 4-7 4 2 2 5 5 9 13 +14.5
Sean Pedulla 25 3-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 7 1 -1.9
Jaemyn Brakefield 23 5-7 3-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 3 15 11 +14.4
Jaylen Murray 22 1-7 0-1 1-2 0 1 3 0 1 3 -1 -2.0
Malik Dia 19 3-9 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 3 2 7 6 +6.9
Eduardo Klafke 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +1.0
Mikeal Brown-Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -0.3
John Bol 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

* = starter