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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% - โœ“
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hoggard 31 6-14 2-5 3-5 1 4 1 0 1 17 8 +16.3
Jaylen Carey 28 6-12 0-2 2-5 8 2 2 1 3 14 12 +12.1
MJ Collins 26 5-6 1-2 3-5 4 0 2 0 0 14 14 +7.7
Grant Huffman 24 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 4 4 +7.0
Tyler Nickel 23 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 11 8 +1.8
Devin McGlockton 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 7 13 +7.8
Jason Edwards 17 2-9 1-3 7-7 2 0 0 0 0 12 5 -2.6
Chris Manon 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 1 4 -1.6
Tyler Tanner 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -3.6

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dji Bailey 37 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 7 -4.4
Cam Carter 37 8-17 4-11 2-2 3 1 3 0 4 22 8 -4.1
Jordan Sears 30 4-11 1-5 8-8 2 2 1 0 3 17 8 -1.1
Corey Chest 29 4-6 0-0 4-5 5 2 2 1 0 12 16 -3.5
Daimion Collins 19 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 4 -5.0
Robert Miller III 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -10.5
Curtis Givens III 15 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 +0.3
Vyctorius Miller 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 -2.1
Derek Fountain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter