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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -
Bradley-Terry 71.1% 28.9% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Log Adjusted 76.6% 23.4% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (106-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richard 36 4-8 0-3 1-1 6 2 0 0 0 9 9 +3.1
A. Martin 36 9-17 5-12 3-7 5 1 2 1 2 26 16 -3.1
W. Clayton Jr. 34 9-16 6-12 9-13 3 5 0 0 5 33 20 +1.6
A. Condon 32 2-6 0-2 3-8 10 3 0 1 0 7 15 +13.2
T. Haugh 21 3-4 1-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 11 8 +3.3
R. Chinyelu 21 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 3 1 2 1 10 19 -8.0
D. Aberdeen 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -19.4
S. Alexis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -5.4

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Butler 33 6-9 1-3 6-7 2 8 3 0 2 19 21 +12.2
J. Robinson 30 5-12 2-6 2-2 1 2 0 1 0 14 6 -9.5
A. Carr 29 4-8 2-5 4-7 4 5 0 0 0 14 15 -3.2
O. Oweh 28 6-10 1-1 3-3 4 0 2 0 1 16 11 +5.8
K. Brea 22 8-11 7-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 23 13 +19.9
A. Williams 22 6-7 0-0 3-4 8 5 0 1 1 15 21 +9.5
B. Garrison 16 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 3 0 0 1 2 5 +5.3
A. Almonor 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 +7.4
T. Perry 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 +3.8

* = starter