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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 โœ“ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +28 (107-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Elvis 32 6-14 1-7 0-1 1 5 1 0 2 13 4 -23.2
Duke Miles 29 3-8 0-2 4-5 2 2 0 0 1 10 5 -8.8
Jalon Moore 29 9-14 2-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 20 11 -21.7
Jeremiah Fears 26 5-15 1-5 5-8 5 3 2 1 3 16 9 -14.8
Sam Godwin 21 7-10 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 0 1 15 12 -7.5
Brycen Goodine 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 3 2 -8.8
Glenn Taylor Jr. 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -19.1
Luke Northweather 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -13.2
Mohamed Wague 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 +2.5
Dayton Forsythe 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.9
Jacolb Fredson-Cole 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Sears 32 5-13 1-6 11-13 4 11 3 0 0 22 27 +26.6
Grant Nelson 29 5-11 2-5 0-0 11 2 2 2 0 12 18 +20.3
Labaron Philon 26 5-10 2-5 4-6 4 5 2 0 0 16 17 +22.5
Jarin Stevenson 21 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 9 3 +10.4
Chris Youngblood 20 3-9 1-5 2-2 8 2 2 1 0 9 13 +18.0
Aden Holloway 19 4-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 10 4 +9.5
Clifford Omoruyi 17 5-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 10 13 +14.2
Derrion Reid 15 4-8 0-1 3-6 3 0 0 0 2 11 4 +4.5
Aiden Sherrell 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 +4.6
Mouhamed Dioubate 8 2-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 4 -1 +4.7
Max Scharnowski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +2.0
Houston Mallette 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.7

* = starter