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Alabama Crimson Tide 56
@
Kentucky Wildcats 65
2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - ✓
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 ✓ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Barker 37 8-18 2-5 4-5 7 1 1 2 3 22 12 -4.8
Aaliyah Nye 36 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 -1 +0.5
Karly Weathers 36 3-5 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 7 9 +6.0
Zaay Green 34 6-13 1-3 1-3 3 5 1 0 6 14 4 +1.5
Essence Cody 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 5 1 2 8 9 -3.3
JeAnna Cunningham 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -4.3
Diana Collins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -13.7
Eris Lester 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 +2.5
Christabel Ezumah 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.9

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Georgia Amoore 40 6-16 2-6 2-2 3 9 0 0 6 16 6 +10.6
Clara Strack 39 7-14 0-1 0-0 14 3 0 1 3 14 15 +11.8
Dazia Lawrence 37 3-10 3-6 1-3 1 2 1 0 0 10 4 +8.4
Amelia Hassett 35 4-8 2-6 1-2 7 2 3 2 2 11 15 +15.7
Saniah Tyler 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 +9.2
Teonni Key 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 6 +0.5
Clara Silva 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.9

* = starter