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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 92.2% 7.8% - โœ“
Margin 98.4% 1.6% -22.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 87.8% 12.2% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Madison Booker 39 6-12 2-3 8-9 6 1 3 1 4 22 17 +18.0
Rori Harmon 37 9-15 1-1 1-2 3 6 0 0 3 20 11 +18.6
Shay Holle 31 2-6 1-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 7 6 +18.7
Taylor Jones 27 5-10 0-0 5-6 7 1 2 1 1 15 15 +10.0
Aaliyah Moore 24 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 4 4 +3.6
Justice Carlton 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 5 +12.7
Kyla Oldacre 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 2 +4.6
Jordan Lee 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 +2.6
Bryanna Preston 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -0.2

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylen Collins 37 2-6 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 0 1 5 4 -12.4
Mar'shaun Bostic 28 7-14 0-0 4-5 4 6 5 0 4 18 15 -11.6
Yakiya Milton 24 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 2 6 4 -13.4
DeYona Gaston 24 7-12 1-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 4 18 6 -4.4
Oyindamola Akinbolawa 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 3 4 7 -6.8
Celia Sumbane 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 +0.1
Audia Young 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -10.7
Jordan Hunter 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -7.1
Yuting Deng 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -0.6
Syriah Daniels 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -12.3
Timya Thurman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1.6

* = starter