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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% -
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bostic 36 6-9 0-0 6-7 4 7 3 0 2 18 21 +5.4
T. Collins 30 1-7 0-0 2-4 5 1 3 0 1 4 5 +4.5
A. Young 28 2-11 0-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 2 5 -4 +1.1
C. Sumbane 27 2-8 1-3 0-0 8 0 1 0 4 5 2 +4.8
O. Akinbolawa 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 6 5 +4.0
D. Gaston 22 10-23 0-0 3-6 7 2 0 1 1 23 9 +4.3
J. Hunter 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.7
S. Daniels 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +0.6
Y. Milton 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 +0.0
T. Thurman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.2

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Amoore 38 7-17 1-4 6-6 2 11 1 0 3 21 15 -3.8
D. Lawrence 35 8-13 4-9 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 21 8 -3.7
A. Hassett 33 1-5 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 2 3 3 6 -3.3
T. Key 33 7-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 2 15 14 -3.7
C. Strack 30 6-8 1-2 3-4 5 2 1 4 2 16 18 -3.6
S. Tyler 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -0.3
C. Silva 10 1-2 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 3 5 +0.2
C. Rowe 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter