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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.3 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylen Collins 35 5-12 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 5 12 -1 +1.8
Mar'shaun Bostic 28 2-11 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 4 -5 +1.6
Audia Young 28 7-10 4-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 19 7 +3.6
Celia Sumbane 27 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 2 8 +1.1
Oyindamola Akinbolawa 20 0-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 1 4 +1.8
Jordan Hunter 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 5 4 +1.2
Syriah Daniels 17 1-4 0-1 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1.6
DeYona Gaston 16 7-10 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 16 10 -0.2
Yakiya Milton 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 +0.6

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aneesah Morrow 40 9-12 0-0 3-4 14 1 3 0 2 21 25 +1.0
Mikaylah Williams 32 3-9 0-4 4-4 4 4 1 0 3 10 7 +0.3
Flau'jae Johnson 27 5-13 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 12 -2 +0.7
Shayeann Day-Wilson 23 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 2 2 0 1 3 7 -1.5
Sa'Myah Smith 22 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 3 1 4 4 -0.7
Kailyn Gilbert 17 8-10 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 17 8 -0.9
L. Poa 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -
Jersey Wolfenbarger 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 +0.3
Mjracle Sheppard 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -0.3
Aalyah Del Rosario 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -0.3
Jada Richard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter