Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 35 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -17.9 |
| Sam Lewis | 33 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -10.1 |
| Isaiah Adams | 26 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -7.7 |
| Seth Hubbard | 24 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Grgur Brcic | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -6.7 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Javan Simmons | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -11.5 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.7 |
| Bryce Ford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -16.6 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 39 | 12-22 | 6-13 | 4-4 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer | 33 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +17.9 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 28 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | +17.2 |
| Caleb Furst | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +19.1 |
| Myles Colvin | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -7.3 |
| Camden Heide | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.9 |
| Raleigh Burgess | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | +1.8 |
| C.J. Cox | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +16.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Brian Waddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter