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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braden Smith 37 3-12 2-5 0-0 2 6 3 0 5 8 2 -
Trey Kaufman-Renn 32 7-10 0-0 1-7 8 1 0 1 3 15 12 -17.9
Fletcher Loyer 26 3-12 0-4 5-5 1 1 1 0 1 11 1 -20.9
Myles Colvin 23 0-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -11.2
Camden Heide 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -4.7
C.J. Cox 19 3-7 3-5 7-7 3 2 0 0 0 16 14 -2.1
Gicarri Harris 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 3 +14.2
Caleb Furst 14 2-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -1.5
Raleigh Burgess 10 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 9 +7.6
Will Berg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brian Waddell 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +11.1

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johni Broome 30 10-15 1-2 2-3 11 2 1 1 1 23 22 +11.7
Denver Jones 27 6-10 3-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 15 9 +20.9
Miles Kelly 27 2-8 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 5 3 +16.1
Tahaad Pettiford 23 7-12 2-4 2-2 3 5 0 1 4 18 11 +9.3
Chad Baker-Mazara 23 4-7 0-2 0-0 5 6 4 2 1 8 17 +13.0
Jahki Howard 19 2-5 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -6.0
Dylan Cardwell 18 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
Chaney Johnson 15 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 6 10 +2.3
Chris Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.5
Ja'Heim Hudson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.2
Blake Muschalek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.1
JP Pegues 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.2
Presley Patterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter