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2024-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% -
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears * 35 5-15 1-6 4-4 4 6 0 0 4 15 6 -13.1
L. Wrightsell Jr. * 31 4-8 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 11 5 -9.2
G. Nelson * 29 5-7 1-3 1-1 11 1 1 1 1 12 18 -2.5
C. Omoruyi * 22 2-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 4 0 7 13 -10.0
J. Stevenson * 14 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -10.0
L. Philon 27 7-10 3-4 1-1 5 4 0 0 1 18 16 -17.4
A. Holloway 17 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 3 -11.0
D. Reid 13 2-6 0-1 0-1 4 2 0 0 1 4 3 -1.2
M. Dioubate 9 0-1 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 1 1 4 7 -2.6
A. Sherrell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith * 37 6-18 0-4 5-6 6 10 1 0 1 17 15 -
F. Loyer * 31 5-9 3-5 4-5 2 2 1 0 1 17 12 +11.2
T. Kaufman-Renn * 30 12-23 1-1 1-4 8 4 0 0 0 26 15 +14.2
G. Harris * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2.5
W. Berg * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
C. Heide 24 1-3 1-2 2-4 8 1 0 1 1 5 11 +21.3
M. Colvin 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 0 5 +7.4
C.J. Cox 18 4-5 3-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 11 7 +13.4
C. Furst 13 1-2 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 +5.9
R. Burgess 4 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter