Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Poulakidas * | 37 | 9-19 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 10 | -13.1 |
| Bez Mbeng * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -9.6 |
| Samson Aletan * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | -10.0 |
| Nick Townsend * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -11.6 |
| Yassine Gharram * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -12.4 |
| Casey Simmons | 14 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Isaac Celiscar | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.5 |
| Jack Molloy | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Jordan Brathwaite | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Trevor Mullin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith * | 35 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +12.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Gicarri Harris * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Will Berg * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Myles Colvin | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +22.4 |
| Camden Heide | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +2.4 |
| C.J. Cox | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Raleigh Burgess | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Caleb Furst | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
* = starter