Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Dixon * | 36 | 15-29 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 13 | -1.9 |
| J. Brickus * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -7.8 |
| J. Longino * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -4.2 |
| E. Boakye * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +9.3 |
| W. Poplar * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5.2 |
| T. Perkins | 30 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.7 |
| J. Moseley | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
| K. Parker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| N. Njoku | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gillespie * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +4.5 |
| D. Queen * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 21 | +9.9 |
| R. Rice * | 34 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +7.1 |
| J. Reese * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1.7 |
| S. Miguel * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.0 |
| D. Harris-Smith | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +0.1 |
| J. Young | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.2 |
| M. Palmer | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.5 |
| T. Gapare | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter