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2024-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% -
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% -
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +30.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 5.3% 94.7% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +34 (86-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Lipscomb * 34 0-2 0-1 4-8 2 7 1 0 4 4 8 -29.1
D. Adebayo * 29 4-7 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 1 2 11 9 -21.1
J. Cordilia * 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 +2.3
C. Pacheco * 23 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -11.1
D. Hobbs * 23 7-11 5-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 21 11 +0.3
T. Ard Jr. 21 2-4 0-0 2-3 5 1 2 0 5 6 5 -20.0
A. Khadre Kebe 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -4 -
J. Ervin 13 1-5 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 4 -2 -20.8
A. Keyes 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -7.3
T. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -12.6
J. Hartman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
J. Ogunfuye 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.0
P. Haigh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Reese * 23 2-3 0-0 5-10 10 1 1 0 2 9 16 +9.5
J. Gillespie * 23 4-8 3-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 13 9 +19.7
S. Miguel * 22 4-11 1-4 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 11 4 +11.5
D. Queen * 20 3-8 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 0 1 8 5 +15.7
D. Harris-Smith * 16 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 +9.5
R. Rice 20 10-14 3-5 5-5 5 2 2 0 1 28 22 +43.8
J. Young 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 3 0 0 3 3 +9.1
J. Geronimo 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 2 7 +20.7
M. Palmer 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +14.5
T. Gapare 12 0-1 0-1 5-6 1 0 4 0 0 5 9 +5.6
C. Stephens 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -6.3
B. Pierce 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.1
L. Sotell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
B. Murphy 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter