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2024-11-21

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% -
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -
Points Off/Def 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +11 (69-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Giles * 30 3-17 1-9 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 7 -2 -8.5
R. Polite III * 28 6-9 1-2 4-6 1 3 1 0 3 17 10 -1.7
D. Atwell * 27 3-15 3-12 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 10 -4 -12.6
M. Jones * 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 2 2 3 11 -1.2
J. Breath * 23 1-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 3 5 -14.6
J. Saizonou 20 3-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 8 -1 -2.2
M. Henry 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 6 2 2 2 1 3 13 +10.8
M. Reath 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 1 6 -1.7
A. Ahemed 11 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -11.8
D. Davis 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 3 -3.8

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rice * 35 8-14 2-6 2-2 5 6 1 0 3 20 15 +9.5
M. Reneau * 30 3-8 0-1 3-3 10 3 2 1 2 9 15 +19.7
O. Ballo * 27 4-5 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 1 2 9 16 +6.9
K. Carlyle * 26 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 -3 -0.7
M. Mgbako * 23 2-11 1-4 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 9 3 -6.2
B. Tucker 25 5-9 0-1 4-5 3 1 1 0 0 14 10 +14.6
L. Goode 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 +7.4
T. Galloway 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 0 0 -0.3
L. Hatton 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -2.1

* = starter