Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.6 | ✓ (37.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -43 (67-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +29.7 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +32.5 |
| Sion James | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +27.6 |
| Cooper Flagg | 23 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +22.0 |
| Khaman Maluach | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +21.1 |
| Mason Gillis | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +18.1 |
| Isaiah Evans | 18 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +20.3 |
| Patrick Ngongba | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +17.6 |
| Caleb Foster | 7 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Darren Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.6 |
| Spencer Hubbard | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Neal Begovich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Cameron Sheffield | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
| Stanley Borden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomislav Ivisic | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -26.3 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 32 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | -28.1 |
| Kylan Boswell | 27 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -17.9 |
| Tre White | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -28.5 |
| Will Riley | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -23.0 |
| Ben Humrichous | 22 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -12.5 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 17 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Jake Davis | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -19.8 |
| Carey Booth | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Keaton Kutcher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter