Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +42.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +53 (117-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Spinelli | 31 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Matthew Robinson | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -39.8 |
| Jalen Forrest | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -37.7 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | -1.7 |
| Noble Crawford | 25 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | -38.1 |
| Dailliss Cox | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -18.8 |
| Michael Brown | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| CJ Delancy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -9.3 |
| Joe Spinelli | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Raiford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 26 | +31.2 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 23 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +21.8 |
| Will Riley | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +26.8 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 21 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | +35.7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | +25.6 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 19 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +21.0 |
| Ben Humrichous | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +17.9 |
| Tre White | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +26.6 |
| Jake Davis | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Carey Booth | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| AJ Redd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Kutcher | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.8 |
* = starter