๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 64.4% 35.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 โœ— (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Igor Milicic Jr. 37 2-13 0-8 3-4 14 1 1 1 2 7 9 +3.7
Jordan Gainey 34 6-14 3-6 8-9 2 2 1 0 0 23 14 +9.9
Jahmai Mashack 32 3-7 0-1 0-1 3 0 4 1 0 6 7 +1.8
Chaz Lanier 26 5-17 2-6 5-9 2 1 0 0 1 17 2 +3.7
Zakai Zeigler 25 1-5 0-1 4-5 2 2 1 0 1 6 5 +3.9
Darlinstone Dubar 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 5 8 +1.2
Cade Phillips 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -0.5
Felix Okpara 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -9.6
Bishop Boswell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +0.9

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kasparas Jakucionis 37 5-15 2-7 10-14 3 2 1 0 7 22 6 +4.0
Tre White 34 3-7 1-2 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 11 6 +0.5
Ben Humrichous 30 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 +10.2
Tomislav Ivisic 28 1-5 0-2 2-2 12 1 0 1 0 4 13 -0.9
Kylan Boswell 27 2-8 0-3 6-7 7 1 1 0 0 10 11 +5.0
Will Riley 20 1-9 0-4 8-9 5 0 0 0 1 10 5 -4.0
Morez Johnson Jr. 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -1.2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.4
Jake Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.2
Carey Booth 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter