Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -13 (77-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jakucionis * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 15 | +13.5 |
| K. Boswell * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 18 | +13.0 |
| T. Ivisic * | 30 | 7-14 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 22 | +12.2 |
| B. Humrichous * | 29 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +11.1 |
| T. White * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Riley | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +11.0 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +1.1 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -4.1 |
| J. Davis | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Booth | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thiero * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 12-21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | -4.5 |
| J. Davis * | 32 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Wagner * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +2.2 |
| B. Fland * | 25 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -15.4 |
| Z. Ivisic * | 22 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +0.1 |
| B. Richmond III | 32 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -7.5 |
| J. Aidoo | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| K. Knox | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| T. Brazile | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +2.3 |
* = starter