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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +28.3 โœ“ (29.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +58 (92-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Lewis * 29 1-9 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 2 -2 -48.1
Ante Beljan * 26 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 2 1 -25.1
Mwani Wilkinson * 25 2-8 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 -3 -48.0
Johnathan Lawson * 20 1-6 0-2 2-4 0 0 1 0 0 4 -1 -12.9
Tuongthach Gatkek * 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 1 0 3 5 -21.5
Caleb Pennyfeather 27 2-4 0-1 0-2 3 1 1 0 2 4 3 -38.4
Jordan Jefferson 18 4-10 1-3 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 11 5 -23.1
Christian Hughes 16 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Kristiyan Popov 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -14.0
Nikola Milosevic 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -11.3

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kasparas Jakucionis * 28 5-9 3-4 8-8 6 5 3 0 2 21 24 +52.9
Ben Humrichous * 25 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 3 3 +33.5
Tomislav Ivisic * 24 7-10 1-3 1-2 11 3 2 0 2 16 20 +44.2
Kylan Boswell * 23 0-1 0-1 3-4 3 7 1 0 1 3 12 +35.8
Tre White * 21 6-12 0-3 4-4 8 1 2 0 0 16 15 +11.4
Will Riley 24 4-11 3-9 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 13 5 +36.3
Morez Johnson Jr. 21 2-5 0-0 4-6 11 0 0 1 1 8 14 +21.6
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn 15 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 9 4 +5.7
Jake Davis 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +8.0
Carey Booth 6 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 1 +5.2
AJ Redd 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
Keaton Kutcher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter