Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +13 (100-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jakucionis * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | -15.0 |
| K. Boswell * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -17.0 |
| T. Ivisic * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -26.5 |
| B. Humrichous * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -3.4 |
| T. White * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -5.8 |
| W. Riley | 29 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | -7.8 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.7 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +2.0 |
| C. Booth | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Philon * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | +21.0 |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +23.7 |
| G. Nelson * | 28 | 9-15 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 22 | +27.2 |
| M. Sears * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +9.8 |
| C. Omoruyi * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +10.2 |
| A. Holloway | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +18.9 |
| D. Reid | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -5.6 |
| J. Stevenson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +6.1 |
| A. Sherrell | 9 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +2.6 |
| M. Dioubate | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.2 |
* = starter