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2024-12-16

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +9 (58-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Barry Dunning Jr. 37 6-12 3-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 17 8 -5.9
Myles Corey 30 3-15 1-6 2-2 5 1 0 1 4 9 -3 -5.4
John Broom 29 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 1 1 1 7 -7.2
Jayden Cooper 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -9.8
Cantia Rahming 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 0 1 5 13 -3.0
JJ Wheat 16 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -2.5
Randy Brady 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 0 4 +3.8
Judah Brown 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -0.4
Dylan Fasoyiro 11 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 2 3 +2.4
Elijah Ormiston 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -1.0

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trazarien White 37 5-14 2-9 1-1 5 3 2 1 1 13 9 +7.6
Noah Reynolds 35 0-7 0-5 2-4 3 4 1 0 0 2 3 +6.8
Ernest Udeh Jr. 31 5-6 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 3 0 10 20 +4.0
Vasean Allette 26 4-9 1-5 5-6 2 2 1 0 4 14 6 +6.0
Micah Robinson 20 2-8 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 -1 +7.5
David Punch 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 7 8 +2.0
Isaiah Manning 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 3 5 -3.7
Jace Posey 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 4 +4.8
Malick Diallo 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 2 -2.2

* = starter